War on the Threshold: Israel experts have warned of a military conflict in 2020 – Many prominent Israeli military experts point to the sharply increased risk of a large-scale armed conflict in a region where the IDF will be drawn into. The Institute for National Security Studies (INSS) released its annual report on Monday, January 6.
War on the Threshold: Israel experts have warned of a military conflict in 2020
MilitaryEzyInfo.com – The document, prepared by a team of researchers, was presented to President Reuven Rivlin by the head of INSS, IDF Major General Amos Yadlin, in the reserve.
Central to the assessment of the strategic situation presented in the report are factors that could lead to military conflict in the coming year or even full-scale war.
This is due to the activities of Israeli security forces on several fronts. One of them is to confront Tehran’s growing military perseverance and determination both in developing its nuclear program and in trying to strengthen its presence and gain a foothold in Syria and other areas for attacking Israel.
One more direction is confrontation with Hamas. The Palestinian group is trying by all means to ease the pressure exerted by Israel and to achieve agreements on cessation of hostilities on its own terms.
All this is happening against the backdrop of a protracted political crisis in Israel, which is hampering strategic planning and development.
The Institute’s experts are convinced that the growing confrontation between the world powers has a global impact on the entire world politics.
The elimination of Kassem Suleimani, according to the authors of the report, will be a strategic turning point for the entire Middle East and Israel in particular. This event will have far-reaching consequences, and it is premature to assess them at this stage.
INSS experts call the situation in Iran the most serious threat to Israeli security. If the response to the destruction of Suleimani will affect the Jewish state, as the closest ally of the U.S. in the Middle East, it will mean unleashing a new war.
In such a scenario, the IDF would have to confront not only Iranian military forces, but also the satellites of Tehran: Hizbullah in Lebanon, armed groups in Syria sent by Iranian advisers, as well as Assad’s army and, possibly, units from Iraq.
The enemy’s military efforts will focus on land invasion of israel. If successful, such an invasion would give the pro-Iranian coalition a powerful advantage in psychological warfare.